تحلیل SWOT استفاده از انرژی خورشیدی در مناطق کویری و بیابانی ایران

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسنده

کارشناسی ارشد مهندسی سیستم‏های انرژی، دانشکدۀ مکانیک و انرژی، دانشگاه شهید بهشتی تهران

10.22059/ses.2023.351703.1019

چکیده

کشور ایران در کمربند بیابانی جهان قرار گرفته است و از نظر تابش خورشید، پتانسیل بسیار بالایی برای برداشت انرژی خورشیدی به روش‏های مختلف را دارد. با این اوصاف، روند توسعۀ تکنولوژی‏های انرژی خورشیدی ایران در مقایسه با سایر کشورهای جهان رضایت‌بخش نیست. این پژوهش با هدف تحلیل راهبردی و استراتژیک توسعۀ انرژی خورشیدی در مناطق کویری و بیابانی ایران انجام شده است. برای شناسایی عوامل داخلی و خارجی تأثیرگذار بر این تحقیق، با مصاحبه از خبرگان و داده‏های کتابخانه‏ای فهرستی از قوت‌ها، ضعف‌ها، فرصت‌ها و تهدیدها تهیه شد. با طرح پرسشنامه و تکمیل آن توسط کارشناسان، ماتریس SWOT جهت پیدا کردن راهبرد مناسب تشکیل شد و بر اساس ماتریسی که در این پژوهش به دست آمد، راهبرد تهاجمی SO برای توسعۀ انرژی خورشیدی در مناطق کویری و بیابانی ایران گزینۀ مناسبی بود، چرا که امتیاز 87/2 برای عوامل داخلی به دست آمد که قوت محسوب می‏شود و امتیاز عوامل خارجی 79/2 بود که دارای فرصت برای توسعه است. در چارچوب راهبرد تهاجمی برای توسعۀ انرژی خورشیدی در بیابان‏های ایران، باید با استفاده از قوت‌های داخلی موجود تلاش کرد تا از فرصت‏های خارجی بیشترین بهره را برد. در انتها، برخی پیشنهادها و راهبردهای تهاجمی متناسب با این تحقیق ارائه شده است.

کلیدواژه‌ها


عنوان مقاله [English]

SWOT Analysis of Solar Energy Use in Desert Areas of Iran

نویسنده [English]

  • Amir Hossein Heydari
Master of Science, Energy Systems Engineering, Faculty of Mechanical and Energy Engineering, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, Iran
چکیده [English]

Iran is located in the desert region of the world and, in terms of solar radiation, has a very high potential to receive solar energy in different ways. However, solar energy technology development is not satisfactory compared to other countries. Iran's desert areas have been the subject of this research to analyze solar energy development. By interviewing experts and looking at library data, a list of strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats was prepared to identify internal and external factors affecting this research. The aggressive SO strategy was deemed a suitable option for the development of solar energy in desert areas of Iran based on a SWOT matrix formed by experts by completing a designed questionnaire. The total score of internal factors is 2.87, which is considered a strength, and the score obtained from external factors is 2.79, which has more development opportunities. In the framework of this strategy, it is possible to take maximum advantage of external opportunities by using internal strengths. In the end, some suggestions and techniques are presented according to the aggressive strategy of this research.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Foresight
  • Solar Energy
  • SWOT Analysis
  • Strategic Analysis
  • The Desert of Iran
  • Zahedi R, Sadeghitabar E, Ahmadi A. Solar energy potential assessment for electricity generation in the southeastern coast of Iran. Future Energy. 2023;2(1):15-22.
  • Nejat P, Jomehzadeh F, Taheri MM, Gohari M, Majid MZA. A global review of energy consumption, CO2 emissions and policy in the residential sector (with an overview of the top ten CO2 emitting countries). Renewable and sustainable energy reviews. 2015;43:843-62.
  • Khazaee M, Zahedi R, Faryadras R, Ahmadi A. Assessment of renewable energy production capacity of Asian countries: a review. New Energy Exploitation and Application. 2022;1(2):25-41.
  • Kannan D, Moazzeni S, mostafayi Darmian S, Afrasiabi A. A hybrid approach based on MCDM methods and Monte Carlo simulation for sustainable evaluation of potential solar sites in east of Iran. Journal of cleaner production. 2021;279:122368.
  • Ghodusinejad MH, Noorollahi Y, Zahedi R. Optimal site selection and sizing of solar EV charge stations. Journal of Energy Storage. 2022;56:105904.
  • Zahedi R, Ghodusinejad MH, Gitifar S. Threats Evaluation of Border Power Plants from the Perspective of Fuel Type and Providing Solutions to Deal with Them: A Case Study of Iran. Transactions of the Indian National Academy of Engineering. 2022:1-13.
  • Aydin NY, Kentel E, Duzgun HS. GIS-based site selection methodology for hybrid renewable energy systems: A case study from western Turkey. Energy conversion and management. 2013;70:90-106.
  • Zahedi R, Seraji MAN, Borzuei D, Moosavian SF, Ahmadi A. Feasibility study for designing and building a zero-energy house in new cities. Solar Energy. 2022;240:168-75.
  • Chahine K, Murr R, Ramadan M, El Hage H, Khaled M. Use of parabolic troughs in HVAC applications–Design calculations and analysis. Case studies in thermal engineering. 2018;12:285-91.
  • Dominguez A, Kleissl J, Luvall JC. Effects of solar photovoltaic panels on roof heat transfer. Solar Energy. 2011;85(9):2244-55.
  • Heydari AH, Haghighi Khoshkhoo R. Techno-economical analysis of DSF, BIPV and PCM in administrative buildings in four climates of Iran. International Journal of Ambient Energy. 2022;43(1):8474-85.
  • Stacey RD. Strategic Management and Organisational Dynamics: Lecturer's Guide: Pitman; 1993.
  • Dyson RG. Strategic development and SWOT analysis at the University of Warwick. European journal of operational research. 2004;152(3):631-40.
  • Chen W-M, Kim H, Yamaguchi H. Renewable energy in eastern Asia: Renewable energy policy review and comparative SWOT analysis for promoting renewable energy in Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan. Energy Policy. 2014;74:319-29.
  • Zahedi R, Zahedi A, Ahmadi A. Strategic study for renewable energy policy, optimizations and sustainability in Iran. Sustainability. 2022;14(4):2418.
  • Almutairi K, Hosseini Dehshiri SJ, Hosseini Dehshiri SS, Mostafaeipour A, Hoa AX, Techato K. Determination of optimal renewable energy growth strategies using SWOT analysis, hybrid MCDM methods, and game theory: A case study. International Journal of Energy Research. 2022;46(5):6766-89.
  • Salimi M, Hosseinpour M, N. Borhani T. Analysis of Solar Energy Development Strategies for a Successful Energy Transition in the UAE. Processes. 2022;10(7):1338.
  • Salim AM, Dabous SA, editors. SWOT analysis of solar photovoltaic systems in public housing projects in the United Arab Emirates. 2022 Advances in Science and Engineering Technology International Conferences (ASET); 2022: IEEE.
  • Wang Y, Xu L, Solangi YA. Strategic renewable energy resources selection for Pakistan: Based on SWOT-Fuzzy AHP approach. Sustainable Cities and Society. 2020;52:101861.
  • Lei Y, Lu X, Shi M, Wang L, Lv H, Chen S, et al. SWOT analysis for the development of photovoltaic solar power in Africa in comparison with China. Environmental Impact Assessment Review. 2019;77:122-7.

 

  • Sakah M, Diawuo FA, Katzenbach R, Gyamfi S. Towards a sustainable electrification in Ghana: A review of renewable energy deployment policies. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews. 2017;79:544-57.
  • Zou L, Zhang S, Li X, Lan C, Qiu Y, Ma Y. Step‐by‐Step Strategy for Constructing Multilayer Structured Coatings toward High‐Efficiency Electromagnetic Interference Shielding. Advanced Materials Interfaces. 2016;3(5):1500476.
  • Agyekum E, Velkin V, Hossain I, editors. Comparative evaluation of renewable energy scenario in Ghana. IOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering; 2019: IOP Publishing.
  • Grodsky SM. Matching renewable energy and conservation targets for a sustainable future. One Earth. 2021;4(7):924-6.
  • Bergin MH, Ghoroi C, Dixit D, Schauer JJ, Shindell DT. Large reductions in solar energy production due to dust and particulate air pollution. Environmental Science & Technology Letters. 2017;4(8):339-44.
  • Al-Hasan AY. Electricity generation cost between proposed photovoltaic station and conventional units in Kuwait. Renewable energy. 1997;12(3):291-301.
  • Zarei I, Zarei V, Noorozi M. Investigating the capabilities of the desert in the use of clean and new energies. The first national desert conference (sciences, techniques and sustainable development)2012. [Persian]
  • Ghazanfari G. New energies: solar energy and its applications. Energy Economy. 2013. [Persian]
  • 1400; Available from: https://barghnews.com/fa/news.
  • S. Energy Information Administration. 2021; Available from: https://www.eia.gov.
  • Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Organization. 2020; Available from: www.satba.gov.ir.
  • He Y-L, Qiu Y, Wang K, Yuan F, Wang W-Q, Li M-J, et al. Perspective of concentrating solar power. Energy. 2020;198:17373.
  • Pelay U, Luo L, Fan Y, Stitou D, Rood M. Thermal energy storage systems for concentrated solar power plants. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews. 2017;79:82-100.
  • Hales D. Renewables 2020 global status report. Rep. Paris 2020;120–130:REN2..
  • de Landa IF, Burin EL, Bazzo E. SOLAR THERMAL ELECTRICITY GENERATION: THE SPANISH EXPERIENCE. 2013.